2026 Week 12 · Conference game
Pittsburgh at Louisville
Friday, November 20, 2026 · 11:00 PM CST
L&N Federal Credit Union Stadium
Pittsburgh
ACC
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- 8.4
- National rank
- 36
- Proj. wins
- 7.8
- Playoff prob.
- 3%
Louisville
ACC
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- 12.4
- National rank
- 25
- Proj. wins
- 7.8
- Playoff prob.
- 9%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Pittsburgh
26%
Louisville
74%
Louisville 90% CI: 66% – 80% Δ rating 4.0
Louisville is the model's favorite at 74%. Pittsburgh has a 26% path. Home-field adjustment of +4.3 rating points baked in for Louisville — venue-specific learned value (n=58 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Pittsburgh offense
30 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Louisville offense
34 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.
Game info
- Kickoff
- Friday, November 20, 2026 · 11:00 PM CST
- Venue
- L&N Federal Credit Union Stadium
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No