2026 Week 12 · Conference game
Virginia Tech at Miami
Saturday, November 21, 2026 · 5:00 AM UTC
Hard Rock Stadium
Virginia Tech
ACC
- Record
- 3-0
- Rating
- 12.4
- National rank
- 28
- Proj. wins
- 8.6
- Playoff prob.
- 31%
Miami
ACC
- Record
- 3-0
- Rating
- 23.2
- National rank
- 7
- Proj. wins
- 9.3
- Playoff prob.
- 77%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Virginia Tech
19%
Miami
81%
Miami 90% CI: 75% – 86% Δ rating 10.8
Miami is the model's favorite at 81%. Virginia Tech has a 19% path. Home-field adjustment of +0.8 rating points baked in for Miami — venue-specific learned value (n=57 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Virginia Tech offense
30 / 100
Run offense vs. elite run defense — bad matchup
Miami offense
40 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.
Game info
- Kickoff
- Saturday, November 21, 2026 · 5:00 AM UTC
- Venue
- Hard Rock Stadium
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No