2026 Week 11 · Conference game
Wake Forest at SMU
Saturday, November 14, 2026 · 5:00 AM UTC
Gerald J. Ford Stadium
Wake Forest
ACC
- Record
- 2-1
- Rating
- 3.6
- National rank
- 63
- Proj. wins
- 6.3
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
SMU
ACC
- Record
- 2-1
- Rating
- 12.0
- National rank
- 29
- Proj. wins
- 7.5
- Playoff prob.
- 3%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Wake Forest
16%
SMU
84%
SMU 90% CI: 78% – 89% Δ rating 8.4
SMU is the model's favorite at 84%. Wake Forest has a 16% path. Home-field adjustment of +4.9 rating points baked in for SMU — venue-specific learned value (n=51 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Wake Forest offense
32 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
SMU offense
31 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.
Game info
- Kickoff
- Saturday, November 14, 2026 · 5:00 AM UTC
- Venue
- Gerald J. Ford Stadium
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No