2026 Week 11 · Conference game
Wake Forest at SMU
Friday, November 13, 2026 · 11:00 PM CST
Gerald J. Ford Stadium
Wake Forest
ACC
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- 5.7
- National rank
- 52
- Proj. wins
- 6.3
- Playoff prob.
- 1%
SMU
ACC
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- 13.4
- National rank
- 23
- Proj. wins
- 8.5
- Playoff prob.
- 12%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Wake Forest
17%
SMU
83%
SMU 90% CI: 77% – 88% Δ rating 7.7
SMU is the model's favorite at 83%. Wake Forest has a 17% path. Home-field adjustment of +4.9 rating points baked in for SMU — venue-specific learned value (n=51 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Wake Forest offense
32 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
SMU offense
31 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.
Game info
- Kickoff
- Friday, November 13, 2026 · 11:00 PM CST
- Venue
- Gerald J. Ford Stadium
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No