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2026 Week 11 · Conference game

Stanford at Virginia Tech

Saturday, November 14, 2026 · 5:00 AM UTC

Lane Stadium

Stanford
ACC
Record
1-2
Rating
-7.4
National rank
100
Proj. wins
3.5
Playoff prob.
0%
Virginia Tech
ACC
Record
3-0
Rating
12.4
National rank
28
Proj. wins
8.6
Playoff prob.
31%

GIE win probability

Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.

Stanford
5%
Virginia Tech
95%
Virginia Tech 90% CI: 92% – 96% Δ rating 19.8

Virginia Tech is the model's favorite at 95%. Stanford has a 5% path. Home-field adjustment of +3.2 rating points baked in for Virginia Tech — venue-specific learned value (n=55 games).

Style fit

How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.

Stanford offense
41 / 100

Style-neutral matchup

Virginia Tech offense
33 / 100

Run offense vs. elite run defense — bad matchup

Weather at kickoff

Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.

Game info

Kickoff
Saturday, November 14, 2026 · 5:00 AM UTC
Venue
Lane Stadium
Conference game
Yes
Neutral site
No
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