2026 Week 11 · Conference game
Duke at Miami
Friday, November 13, 2026 · 11:00 PM CST
Hard Rock Stadium
Duke
ACC
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- 6.6
- National rank
- 44
- Proj. wins
- 6.3
- Playoff prob.
- 1%
Miami
ACC
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- 20.7
- National rank
- 9
- Proj. wins
- 9.4
- Playoff prob.
- 61%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Duke
13%
Miami
87%
Miami 90% CI: 82% – 90% Δ rating 14.1
Miami is the model's favorite at 87%. Duke has a 13% path. Home-field adjustment of +0.8 rating points baked in for Miami — venue-specific learned value (n=57 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Duke offense
34 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Miami offense
40 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.
Game info
- Kickoff
- Friday, November 13, 2026 · 11:00 PM CST
- Venue
- Hard Rock Stadium
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No