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2026 Week 10

Miami at Notre Dame

Sunday, November 8, 2026 · 12:30 AM UTC

Notre Dame Stadium

Miami
ACC
Record
0-0
Rating
20.7
National rank
9
Proj. wins
9.4
Playoff prob.
62%
Notre Dame
FBS Independents
Record
0-0
Rating
24.4
National rank
5
Proj. wins
10.1
Playoff prob.
93%

GIE win probability

Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.

Miami
32%
Notre Dame
68%
Notre Dame 90% CI: 60% – 76% Δ rating 3.7

Notre Dame is the model's favorite at 68%. Miami has a 32% path. Home-field adjustment of +2.5 rating points baked in for Notre Dame — venue-specific learned value (n=64 games).

Style fit

How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.

Miami offense
29 / 100

Style-neutral matchup

Notre Dame offense
31 / 100

Style-neutral matchup

Weather at kickoff

Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.

Game info

Kickoff
Sunday, November 8, 2026 · 12:30 AM UTC
Venue
Notre Dame Stadium
Conference game
No
Neutral site
No

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