2026 Week 10 · Conference game
Virginia Tech at SMU
Saturday, November 7, 2026 · 12:00 AM UTC
Gerald J. Ford Stadium
Virginia Tech
ACC
- Record
- 3-0
- Rating
- 12.4
- National rank
- 28
- Proj. wins
- 8.6
- Playoff prob.
- 31%
SMU
ACC
- Record
- 2-1
- Rating
- 12.0
- National rank
- 29
- Proj. wins
- 7.5
- Playoff prob.
- 3%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Virginia Tech
36%
SMU
64%
SMU 90% CI: 55% – 72% Δ rating 0.4
SMU is the model's favorite at 64%. Virginia Tech has a 36% path. Home-field adjustment of +4.9 rating points baked in for SMU — venue-specific learned value (n=51 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Virginia Tech offense
29 / 100
Run offense vs. elite run defense — bad matchup
SMU offense
42 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.
Game info
- Kickoff
- Saturday, November 7, 2026 · 12:00 AM UTC
- Venue
- Gerald J. Ford Stadium
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No