2026 Week 10 · Conference game
Virginia Tech at SMU
Thursday, November 5, 2026 · 11:00 PM CST
Gerald J. Ford Stadium
Virginia Tech
ACC
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- -10.1
- National rank
- 105
- Proj. wins
- 3.2
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
SMU
ACC
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- 13.4
- National rank
- 23
- Proj. wins
- 8.5
- Playoff prob.
- 12%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Virginia Tech
3%
SMU
97%
SMU 90% CI: 96% – 98% Δ rating 23.5
SMU is the model's favorite at 97%. Virginia Tech has a 3% path. Home-field adjustment of +4.9 rating points baked in for SMU — venue-specific learned value (n=51 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Virginia Tech offense
29 / 100
Run offense vs. elite run defense — bad matchup
SMU offense
42 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.
Game info
- Kickoff
- Thursday, November 5, 2026 · 11:00 PM CST
- Venue
- Gerald J. Ford Stadium
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No