2026 Week 9 · Conference game
Virginia at Wake Forest
Saturday, October 31, 2026 · 4:00 AM UTC
Allegacy Federal Credit Union Stadium
Virginia
ACC
- Record
- 2-1
- Rating
- 10.5
- National rank
- 36
- Proj. wins
- 6.7
- Playoff prob.
- 1%
Wake Forest
ACC
- Record
- 2-1
- Rating
- 3.6
- National rank
- 63
- Proj. wins
- 6.3
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Virginia
63%
Wake Forest
37%
Wake Forest 90% CI: 28% – 46% Δ rating 6.9
Virginia is the model's favorite at 63%. Wake Forest has a 37% path. Home-field adjustment of +2.5 rating points baked in for Wake Forest — venue-specific learned value (n=54 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Virginia offense
28 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Wake Forest offense
33 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.
Game info
- Kickoff
- Saturday, October 31, 2026 · 4:00 AM UTC
- Venue
- Allegacy Federal Credit Union Stadium
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No