2026 Week 9 · Conference game
Virginia at Wake Forest
Friday, October 30, 2026 · 11:00 PM CDT
Allegacy Federal Credit Union Stadium
Virginia
ACC
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- 11.1
- National rank
- 31
- Proj. wins
- 8.5
- Playoff prob.
- 9%
Wake Forest
ACC
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- 5.7
- National rank
- 52
- Proj. wins
- 6.3
- Playoff prob.
- 1%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Virginia
59%
Wake Forest
41%
Wake Forest 90% CI: 32% – 50% Δ rating 5.4
Virginia is the model's favorite at 59%. Wake Forest has a 41% path. Home-field adjustment of +2.5 rating points baked in for Wake Forest — venue-specific learned value (n=54 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Virginia offense
28 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Wake Forest offense
33 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.
Game info
- Kickoff
- Friday, October 30, 2026 · 11:00 PM CDT
- Venue
- Allegacy Federal Credit Union Stadium
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No