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2026 Week 8 · Conference game

Syracuse at North Carolina

Saturday, October 24, 2026 · 4:00 AM UTC

Kenan Stadium

Syracuse
ACC
Record
1-2
Rating
-0.2
National rank
69
Proj. wins
4.1
Playoff prob.
0%
North Carolina
ACC
Record
2-1
Rating
4.5
National rank
59
Proj. wins
5.8
Playoff prob.
0%

GIE win probability

Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.

Syracuse
35%
North Carolina
65%
North Carolina 90% CI: 56% – 73% Δ rating 4.7

North Carolina is the model's favorite at 65%. Syracuse has a 35% path. Home-field adjustment of +0.1 rating points baked in for North Carolina — venue-specific learned value (n=52 games).

Style fit

How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.

Syracuse offense
33 / 100

Style-neutral matchup

North Carolina offense
44 / 100

Style-neutral matchup

Weather at kickoff

Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.

Game info

Kickoff
Saturday, October 24, 2026 · 4:00 AM UTC
Venue
Kenan Stadium
Conference game
Yes
Neutral site
No
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