2026 Week 8 · Conference game
Pittsburgh at Miami
Friday, October 23, 2026 · 11:00 PM CDT
Hard Rock Stadium
Pittsburgh
ACC
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- 8.4
- National rank
- 36
- Proj. wins
- 7.8
- Playoff prob.
- 3%
Miami
ACC
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- 20.7
- National rank
- 9
- Proj. wins
- 9.4
- Playoff prob.
- 61%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Pittsburgh
16%
Miami
84%
Miami 90% CI: 78% – 88% Δ rating 12.3
Miami is the model's favorite at 84%. Pittsburgh has a 16% path. Home-field adjustment of +0.8 rating points baked in for Miami — venue-specific learned value (n=57 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Pittsburgh offense
34 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Miami offense
32 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.
Game info
- Kickoff
- Friday, October 23, 2026 · 11:00 PM CDT
- Venue
- Hard Rock Stadium
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No