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2026 Week 8 · Conference game

NC State at Stanford

Thursday, October 22, 2026 · 11:00 PM CDT

Stanford Stadium

NC State
ACC
Record
0-0
Rating
4.8
National rank
55
Proj. wins
7.0
Playoff prob.
1%
Stanford
ACC
Record
0-0
Rating
-11.8
National rank
112
Proj. wins
2.6
Playoff prob.
0%

GIE win probability

Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.

NC State
83%
Stanford
17%
Stanford 90% CI: 12% – 23% Δ rating 16.6

NC State is the model's favorite at 83%. Stanford has a 17% path. Home-field adjustment of +3.9 rating points baked in for Stanford — venue-specific learned value (n=53 games).

Style fit

How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.

NC State offense
37 / 100

Style-neutral matchup

Stanford offense
39 / 100

Style-neutral matchup

Weather at kickoff

Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.

Game info

Kickoff
Thursday, October 22, 2026 · 11:00 PM CDT
Venue
Stanford Stadium
Conference game
Yes
Neutral site
No

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