Conference game
Duke at Virginia
Friday, October 23, 2026 · 7:00 PM EDT
Final score
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Duke Winner | 7 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 19 |
 Virginia | 7 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 16 |
GIE pre-game call: Duke at 78%. Hit
Pre-game
GIE win probability
Duke 78% Favorite
Virginia 22% Underdog
Duke is the model's favorite at 78%. Virginia has a 22% path. Home-field adjustment of +0.9 rating points baked in for Virginia — venue-specific night-game value (n=53 games).
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Recaps
Weekly recaps generate Monday morning. Check back for both teams' write-ups.