2026 Week 7 · Conference game
Wake Forest at California
Saturday, October 17, 2026 · 4:00 AM UTC
California Memorial Stadium
Wake Forest
ACC
- Record
- 2-1
- Rating
- 3.6
- National rank
- 63
- Proj. wins
- 6.3
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
California
ACC
- Record
- 2-1
- Rating
- 0.8
- National rank
- 67
- Proj. wins
- 6.1
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Wake Forest
43%
California
57%
California 90% CI: 48% – 66% Δ rating 2.8
California is the model's favorite at 57%. Wake Forest has a 43% path. Home-field adjustment of +5.1 rating points baked in for California — venue-specific learned value (n=51 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Wake Forest offense
35 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
California offense
31 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.
Game info
- Kickoff
- Saturday, October 17, 2026 · 4:00 AM UTC
- Venue
- California Memorial Stadium
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No