2026 Week 6 · Conference game
Virginia Tech at California
Saturday, October 10, 2026 · 4:00 AM UTC
California Memorial Stadium
Virginia Tech
ACC
- Record
- 3-0
- Rating
- 12.4
- National rank
- 28
- Proj. wins
- 8.6
- Playoff prob.
- 31%
California
ACC
- Record
- 2-1
- Rating
- 0.8
- National rank
- 67
- Proj. wins
- 6.1
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Virginia Tech
69%
California
31%
California 90% CI: 23% – 39% Δ rating 11.6
Virginia Tech is the model's favorite at 69%. California has a 31% path. Home-field adjustment of +5.1 rating points baked in for California — venue-specific learned value (n=51 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Virginia Tech offense
35 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
California offense
42 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Conditions
Clear
Temperature
74°F
Precipitation
0%
Wind
2 mph
Game info
- Kickoff
- Saturday, October 10, 2026 · 4:00 AM UTC
- Venue
- California Memorial Stadium
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No