2026 Week 6 · Conference game
Virginia Tech at California
Friday, October 9, 2026 · 11:00 PM CDT
California Memorial Stadium
Virginia Tech
ACC
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- -10.1
- National rank
- 105
- Proj. wins
- 3.2
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
California
ACC
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- -3.2
- National rank
- 80
- Proj. wins
- 5.3
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Virginia Tech
18%
California
82%
California 90% CI: 75% – 87% Δ rating 6.9
California is the model's favorite at 82%. Virginia Tech has a 18% path. Home-field adjustment of +5.1 rating points baked in for California — venue-specific learned value (n=51 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Virginia Tech offense
35 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
California offense
42 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.
Game info
- Kickoff
- Friday, October 9, 2026 · 11:00 PM CDT
- Venue
- California Memorial Stadium
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No