2026 Week 6 · Conference game
Syracuse at Virginia
Saturday, October 10, 2026 · 4:00 AM UTC
Scott Stadium
Syracuse
ACC
- Record
- 1-2
- Rating
- -0.2
- National rank
- 69
- Proj. wins
- 4.1
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
Virginia
ACC
- Record
- 2-1
- Rating
- 10.5
- National rank
- 36
- Proj. wins
- 6.7
- Playoff prob.
- 1%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Syracuse
16%
Virginia
84%
Virginia 90% CI: 78% – 88% Δ rating 10.7
Virginia is the model's favorite at 84%. Syracuse has a 16% path. Home-field adjustment of +2.4 rating points baked in for Virginia — venue-specific learned value (n=54 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Syracuse offense
33 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Virginia offense
44 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Conditions
Overcast
Temperature
39°F
Precipitation
11%
Wind
3 mph
Game info
- Kickoff
- Saturday, October 10, 2026 · 4:00 AM UTC
- Venue
- Scott Stadium
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No