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2026 Week 6 · Conference game

Syracuse at Virginia

Friday, October 9, 2026 · 11:00 PM CDT

Scott Stadium

Syracuse
ACC
Record
0-0
Rating
-13.1
National rank
115
Proj. wins
2.5
Playoff prob.
0%
Virginia
ACC
Record
0-0
Rating
11.1
National rank
31
Proj. wins
8.5
Playoff prob.
9%

GIE win probability

Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.

Syracuse
3%
Virginia
97%
Virginia 90% CI: 95% – 98% Δ rating 24.2

Virginia is the model's favorite at 97%. Syracuse has a 3% path. Home-field adjustment of +2.4 rating points baked in for Virginia — venue-specific learned value (n=54 games).

Style fit

How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.

Syracuse offense
33 / 100

Style-neutral matchup

Virginia offense
44 / 100

Style-neutral matchup

Weather at kickoff

Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.

Game info

Kickoff
Friday, October 9, 2026 · 11:00 PM CDT
Venue
Scott Stadium
Conference game
Yes
Neutral site
No

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