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2026 Week 6

Stanford at Notre Dame

Friday, October 9, 2026 · 11:00 PM CDT

Notre Dame Stadium

Stanford
ACC
Record
0-0
Rating
-11.8
National rank
112
Proj. wins
2.6
Playoff prob.
0%
Notre Dame
FBS Independents
Record
0-0
Rating
24.4
National rank
5
Proj. wins
10.1
Playoff prob.
94%

GIE win probability

Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.

Stanford
1%
Notre Dame
99%
Notre Dame 90% CI: 99% – 99% Δ rating 36.2

Notre Dame is the model's favorite at 99%. Stanford has a 1% path. Home-field adjustment of +2.5 rating points baked in for Notre Dame — venue-specific learned value (n=64 games).

Style fit

How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.

Stanford offense
31 / 100

Style-neutral matchup

Notre Dame offense
35 / 100

Style-neutral matchup

Weather at kickoff

Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.

Game info

Kickoff
Friday, October 9, 2026 · 11:00 PM CDT
Venue
Notre Dame Stadium
Conference game
No
Neutral site
No

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