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2026 Week 6

Stanford at Notre Dame

Saturday, October 10, 2026 · 7:30 PM UTC

Notre Dame Stadium

Stanford
ACC
Record
1-2
Rating
-7.4
National rank
100
Proj. wins
3.5
Playoff prob.
0%
Notre Dame
FBS Independents
Record
3-0
Rating
26.7
National rank
3
Proj. wins
9.1
Playoff prob.
58%

GIE win probability

Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.

Stanford
1%
Notre Dame
99%
Notre Dame 90% CI: 99% – 99% Δ rating 34.1

Notre Dame is the model's favorite at 99%. Stanford has a 1% path. Home-field adjustment of +2.5 rating points baked in for Notre Dame — venue-specific learned value (n=64 games).

Style fit

How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.

Stanford offense
31 / 100

Style-neutral matchup

Notre Dame offense
35 / 100

Style-neutral matchup

Weather at kickoff

Conditions
Overcast
Temperature
56°F
Precipitation
2%
Wind
9 mph

Game info

Kickoff
Saturday, October 10, 2026 · 7:30 PM UTC
Venue
Notre Dame Stadium
Conference game
No
Neutral site
No
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