2026 Week 6 · Conference game
North Carolina at Pittsburgh
Saturday, October 10, 2026 · 4:00 AM UTC
Acrisure Stadium
North Carolina
ACC
- Record
- 2-1
- Rating
- 4.5
- National rank
- 59
- Proj. wins
- 5.8
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
Pittsburgh
ACC
- Record
- 3-0
- Rating
- 10.4
- National rank
- 37
- Proj. wins
- 8.3
- Playoff prob.
- 14%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
North Carolina
28%
Pittsburgh
72%
Pittsburgh 90% CI: 64% – 79% Δ rating 5.9
Pittsburgh is the model's favorite at 72%. North Carolina has a 28% path. Home-field adjustment of +1.8 rating points baked in for Pittsburgh — venue-specific learned value (n=57 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
North Carolina offense
34 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Pittsburgh offense
34 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Conditions
Mainly clear
Temperature
44°F
Precipitation
7%
Wind
3 mph
Game info
- Kickoff
- Saturday, October 10, 2026 · 4:00 AM UTC
- Venue
- Acrisure Stadium
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No