2026 Week 6 · Conference game
North Carolina at Pittsburgh
Friday, October 9, 2026 · 11:00 PM CDT
Acrisure Stadium
North Carolina
ACC
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- -6.6
- National rank
- 91
- Proj. wins
- 3.2
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
Pittsburgh
ACC
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- 8.4
- National rank
- 36
- Proj. wins
- 7.8
- Playoff prob.
- 3%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
North Carolina
11%
Pittsburgh
89%
Pittsburgh 90% CI: 85% – 92% Δ rating 15.0
Pittsburgh is the model's favorite at 89%. North Carolina has a 11% path. Home-field adjustment of +1.8 rating points baked in for Pittsburgh — venue-specific learned value (n=57 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
North Carolina offense
34 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Pittsburgh offense
34 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.
Game info
- Kickoff
- Friday, October 9, 2026 · 11:00 PM CDT
- Venue
- Acrisure Stadium
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No