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2026 Week 5

Syracuse at UConn

Saturday, October 3, 2026 · 4:00 PM UTC

Pratt & Whitney Stadium

Syracuse
ACC
Record
1-2
Rating
-0.2
National rank
69
Proj. wins
4.1
Playoff prob.
0%
UConn
FBS Independents
Record
2-1
Rating
-5.2
National rank
86
Proj. wins
7.4
Playoff prob.
2%

GIE win probability

Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.

Syracuse
60%
UConn
40%
UConn 90% CI: 32% – 50% Δ rating 5.0

Syracuse is the model's favorite at 60%. UConn has a 40% path. Home-field adjustment of +1.9 rating points baked in for UConn — venue-specific learned value (n=46 games).

Style fit

How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.

Syracuse offense
42 / 100

Style-neutral matchup

UConn offense
44 / 100

Style-neutral matchup

Weather at kickoff

Conditions
Partly cloudy
Temperature
77°F
Precipitation
21%
Wind
1 mph

Game info

Kickoff
Saturday, October 3, 2026 · 4:00 PM UTC
Venue
Pratt & Whitney Stadium
Conference game
No
Neutral site
No
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