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2026 Week 5 · Conference game

Stanford at Wake Forest

Saturday, October 3, 2026 · 4:00 PM UTC

Allegacy Federal Credit Union Stadium

Stanford
ACC
Record
1-2
Rating
-7.4
National rank
100
Proj. wins
3.5
Playoff prob.
0%
Wake Forest
ACC
Record
2-1
Rating
3.6
National rank
63
Proj. wins
6.3
Playoff prob.
0%

GIE win probability

Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.

Stanford
16%
Wake Forest
84%
Wake Forest 90% CI: 79% – 89% Δ rating 11.0

Wake Forest is the model's favorite at 84%. Stanford has a 16% path. Home-field adjustment of +2.5 rating points baked in for Wake Forest — venue-specific learned value (n=54 games).

Style fit

How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.

Stanford offense
29 / 100

Style-neutral matchup

Wake Forest offense
36 / 100

Style-neutral matchup

Weather at kickoff

Conditions
Overcast
Temperature
88°F
Precipitation
28%
Wind
6 mph

Game info

Kickoff
Saturday, October 3, 2026 · 4:00 PM UTC
Venue
Allegacy Federal Credit Union Stadium
Conference game
Yes
Neutral site
No
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