2026 Week 5 · Conference game
Miami at Clemson
Saturday, October 3, 2026 · 4:00 AM UTC
Memorial Stadium (Clemson, SC)
Miami
ACC
- Record
- 3-0
- Rating
- 23.2
- National rank
- 7
- Proj. wins
- 9.3
- Playoff prob.
- 77%
Clemson
ACC
- Record
- 2-1
- Rating
- 7.1
- National rank
- 45
- Proj. wins
- 6.6
- Playoff prob.
- 1%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Miami
86%
Clemson
14%
Clemson 90% CI: 10% – 19% Δ rating 16.1
Miami is the model's favorite at 86%. Clemson has a 14% path. Home-field adjustment of +1.4 rating points baked in for Clemson — venue-specific learned value (n=58 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Miami offense
33 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Clemson offense
34 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Conditions
Overcast
Temperature
74°F
Precipitation
25%
Wind
2 mph
Game info
- Kickoff
- Saturday, October 3, 2026 · 4:00 AM UTC
- Venue
- Memorial Stadium (Clemson, SC)
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No