2026 Week 5 · Conference game
Miami at Clemson
Friday, October 2, 2026 · 11:00 PM CDT
Memorial Stadium (Clemson, SC)
Miami
ACC
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- 20.7
- National rank
- 9
- Proj. wins
- 9.4
- Playoff prob.
- 61%
Clemson
ACC
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- 9.5
- National rank
- 34
- Proj. wins
- 7.8
- Playoff prob.
- 5%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Miami
77%
Clemson
23%
Clemson 90% CI: 17% – 30% Δ rating 11.2
Miami is the model's favorite at 77%. Clemson has a 23% path. Home-field adjustment of +1.4 rating points baked in for Clemson — venue-specific learned value (n=58 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Miami offense
33 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Clemson offense
34 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.
Game info
- Kickoff
- Friday, October 2, 2026 · 11:00 PM CDT
- Venue
- Memorial Stadium (Clemson, SC)
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No