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California at UNLV

Saturday, October 3, 2026 · 3:30 PM EDT

Final score

Final score by period
Team 1234 T
California 701113 31
UNLV Winner 717015 39

GIE pre-game call: UNLV at 76%. Hit

Pre-game

GIE win probability

California 24% Underdog
UNLV 76% Favorite
UNLV 90% CI
69–82%
Δ rating
UNLV +7.7

UNLV is the model's favorite at 76%. California has a 24% path. Home-field adjustment of +1.5 rating points baked in for UNLV — venue-specific learned value (n=34 games).

Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.

Recaps

Weekly recaps generate Monday morning. Check back for both teams' write-ups.