2026 Week 4 · Conference game
Wake Forest at Louisville
Friday, September 25, 2026 · 11:00 PM CDT
L&N Federal Credit Union Stadium
Wake Forest
ACC
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- 5.7
- National rank
- 52
- Proj. wins
- 6.3
- Playoff prob.
- 1%
Louisville
ACC
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- 12.4
- National rank
- 25
- Proj. wins
- 7.8
- Playoff prob.
- 9%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Wake Forest
20%
Louisville
80%
Louisville 90% CI: 73% – 85% Δ rating 6.7
Louisville is the model's favorite at 80%. Wake Forest has a 20% path. Home-field adjustment of +4.3 rating points baked in for Louisville — venue-specific learned value (n=58 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Wake Forest offense
29 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Louisville offense
29 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.
Game info
- Kickoff
- Friday, September 25, 2026 · 11:00 PM CDT
- Venue
- L&N Federal Credit Union Stadium
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No