2026 Week 4
Delaware at Virginia
Saturday, September 26, 2026 · 10:00 PM UTC
Scott Stadium
Delaware
Conference USA
- Record
- 2-1
- Rating
- -8.1
- National rank
- 103
- Proj. wins
- 7.0
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
Virginia
ACC
- Record
- 2-1
- Rating
- 10.5
- National rank
- 36
- Proj. wins
- 6.7
- Playoff prob.
- 1%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Delaware
7%
Virginia
93%
Virginia 90% CI: 90% – 95% Δ rating 18.6
Virginia is the model's favorite at 93%. Delaware has a 7% path. Home-field adjustment of +2.4 rating points baked in for Virginia — venue-specific learned value (n=54 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Delaware offense
36 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Virginia offense
41 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Conditions
Clear
Temperature
61°F
Precipitation
1%
Wind
5 mph
Game info
- Kickoff
- Saturday, September 26, 2026 · 10:00 PM UTC
- Venue
- Scott Stadium
- Conference game
- No
- Neutral site
- No