2026 Week 4
Delaware at Virginia
Friday, September 25, 2026 · 11:00 PM CDT
Scott Stadium
Delaware
Conference USA
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- -10.9
- National rank
- 109
- Proj. wins
- 0.6
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
Virginia
ACC
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- 11.1
- National rank
- 31
- Proj. wins
- 8.5
- Playoff prob.
- 9%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Delaware
5%
Virginia
95%
Virginia 90% CI: 94% – 97% Δ rating 22.0
Virginia is the model's favorite at 95%. Delaware has a 5% path. Home-field adjustment of +2.4 rating points baked in for Virginia — venue-specific learned value (n=54 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Delaware offense
36 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Virginia offense
41 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.
Game info
- Kickoff
- Friday, September 25, 2026 · 11:00 PM CDT
- Venue
- Scott Stadium
- Conference game
- No
- Neutral site
- No