2026 Week 4 · Conference game
Clemson at California
Thursday, September 24, 2026 · 11:00 PM CDT
California Memorial Stadium
Clemson
ACC
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- 9.5
- National rank
- 34
- Proj. wins
- 7.8
- Playoff prob.
- 5%
California
ACC
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- -3.2
- National rank
- 80
- Proj. wins
- 5.3
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Clemson
72%
California
28%
California 90% CI: 21% – 36% Δ rating 12.7
Clemson is the model's favorite at 72%. California has a 28% path. Home-field adjustment of +5.1 rating points baked in for California — venue-specific learned value (n=51 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Clemson offense
36 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
California offense
36 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.
Game info
- Kickoff
- Thursday, September 24, 2026 · 11:00 PM CDT
- Venue
- California Memorial Stadium
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No