2026 Week 4 · Conference game
Clemson at California
Saturday, September 26, 2026 · 2:30 AM UTC
California Memorial Stadium
Clemson
ACC
- Record
- 2-1
- Rating
- 7.1
- National rank
- 45
- Proj. wins
- 6.6
- Playoff prob.
- 1%
California
ACC
- Record
- 2-1
- Rating
- 0.8
- National rank
- 67
- Proj. wins
- 6.1
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Clemson
54%
California
46%
California 90% CI: 37% – 56% Δ rating 6.3
Clemson is the model's favorite at 54%. California has a 46% path. Home-field adjustment of +5.1 rating points baked in for California — venue-specific learned value (n=51 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Clemson offense
36 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
California offense
36 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Conditions
Overcast
Temperature
55°F
Precipitation
0%
Wind
9 mph
Game info
- Kickoff
- Saturday, September 26, 2026 · 2:30 AM UTC
- Venue
- California Memorial Stadium
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No