2026 Week 3 · Conference game
Stanford at Duke
Friday, September 18, 2026 · 11:00 PM CDT
Wallace Wade Stadium
Stanford
ACC
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- -11.8
- National rank
- 112
- Proj. wins
- 2.6
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
Duke
ACC
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- 6.6
- National rank
- 44
- Proj. wins
- 6.3
- Playoff prob.
- 1%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Stanford
8%
Duke
92%
Duke 90% CI: 88% – 94% Δ rating 18.4
Duke is the model's favorite at 92%. Stanford has a 8% path. Home-field adjustment of +0.7 rating points baked in for Duke — venue-specific learned value (n=53 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Stanford offense
42 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Duke offense
38 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.
Game info
- Kickoff
- Friday, September 18, 2026 · 11:00 PM CDT
- Venue
- Wallace Wade Stadium
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No