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2026 Week 3 FINAL · Conference game

Stanford at Duke

Saturday, September 19, 2026 · 8:00 PM UTC

Wallace Wade Stadium

7
Stanford
Final
35
Duke
Team 1234 T
Stanford 0700 7
Duke 014147 35

GIE pre-game call: Duke at 87%. Hit.

Recaps

Stanford
ACC
Record
1-2
Rating
-7.4
National rank
100
Proj. wins
3.5
Playoff prob.
0%
Duke
ACC
Record
3-0
Rating
7.0
National rank
46
Proj. wins
8.4
Playoff prob.
11%

GIE win probability

Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.

Stanford
13%
Duke
87%
Duke 90% CI: 82% – 91% Δ rating 14.4

Duke is the model's favorite at 87%. Stanford has a 13% path. Home-field adjustment of +0.7 rating points baked in for Duke — venue-specific learned value (n=53 games).

Game info

Kickoff
Saturday, September 19, 2026 · 8:00 PM UTC
Venue
Wallace Wade Stadium
Conference game
Yes
Neutral site
No
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