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2026 Week 2 · Conference game

California at Syracuse

Friday, September 11, 2026 · 11:00 PM CDT

JMA Wireless Dome

California
ACC
Record
0-0
Rating
-3.2
National rank
80
Proj. wins
5.3
Playoff prob.
0%
Syracuse
ACC
Record
0-0
Rating
-13.1
National rank
115
Proj. wins
2.5
Playoff prob.
0%

GIE win probability

Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.

California
72%
Syracuse
28%
Syracuse 90% CI: 21% – 36% Δ rating 9.9

California is the model's favorite at 72%. Syracuse has a 28% path. Home-field adjustment of +2.4 rating points baked in for Syracuse — venue-specific learned value (n=55 games).

Style fit

How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.

California offense
45 / 100

Style-neutral matchup

Syracuse offense
35 / 100

Style-neutral matchup

Weather at kickoff

Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.

Game info

Kickoff
Friday, September 11, 2026 · 11:00 PM CDT
Venue
JMA Wireless Dome
Conference game
Yes
Neutral site
No

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