Conference game
Alabama at Vanderbilt
Saturday, November 14, 2026 · 12:45 PM EST
GIE win probability
Alabama 94% Favorite
Vanderbilt 6% Underdog
Alabama is the model's favorite at 94%. Vanderbilt has a 6% path. Home-field adjustment of +1.5 rating points baked in for Vanderbilt — venue-specific learned value (n=56 games).
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Alabama offense
Higher fit 38 / 100 Style-neutral matchup
Vanderbilt offense
36 / 100 Style-neutral matchup