4thand4cast

Search the site.

Try , , or .

Powered by Pagefind

2026 Week 11 · Conference game

Alabama at Vanderbilt

Saturday, November 14, 2026 · 5:00 AM UTC

FirstBank Stadium

Alabama
SEC
Record
3-0
Rating
19.5
National rank
11
Proj. wins
8.5
Playoff prob.
54%
Vanderbilt
SEC
Record
3-0
Rating
9.7
National rank
39
Proj. wins
7.5
Playoff prob.
15%

GIE win probability

Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.

Alabama
69%
Vanderbilt
31%
Vanderbilt 90% CI: 23% – 39% Δ rating 9.8

Alabama is the model's favorite at 69%. Vanderbilt has a 31% path. Home-field adjustment of +3.2 rating points baked in for Vanderbilt — venue-specific learned value (n=57 games).

Style fit

How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.

Alabama offense
38 / 100

Style-neutral matchup

Vanderbilt offense
36 / 100

Style-neutral matchup

Weather at kickoff

Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.

Game info

Kickoff
Saturday, November 14, 2026 · 5:00 AM UTC
Venue
FirstBank Stadium
Conference game
Yes
Neutral site
No
Share

← Home