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Conference game

Tennessee at Texas A&M

Saturday, November 14, 2026 · 3:00 PM EST

GIE win probability

Tennessee 78% Favorite
Texas A&M 22% Underdog
Tennessee 90% CI
70–83%
Δ rating
Tennessee +12.2

Tennessee is the model's favorite at 78%. Texas A&M has a 22% path. Home-field adjustment of +2.3 rating points baked in for Texas A&M — venue-specific learned value (n=57 games).

Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.

Style fit

How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.

Tennessee offense 38 / 100 Style-neutral matchup
Texas A&M offense Higher fit 40 / 100 Style-neutral matchup