2026 Week 11 · Conference game
Auburn at Mississippi State
Friday, November 13, 2026 · 11:00 PM CST
Davis Wade Stadium
Auburn
SEC
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- 11.6
- National rank
- 29
- Proj. wins
- 6.5
- Playoff prob.
- 2%
Mississippi State
SEC
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- 4.1
- National rank
- 58
- Proj. wins
- 4.9
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Auburn
64%
Mississippi State
36%
Mississippi State 90% CI: 28% – 45% Δ rating 7.5
Auburn is the model's favorite at 64%. Mississippi State has a 36% path. Home-field adjustment of +2.8 rating points baked in for Mississippi State — venue-specific learned value (n=59 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Auburn offense
41 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Mississippi State offense
29 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.
Game info
- Kickoff
- Friday, November 13, 2026 · 11:00 PM CST
- Venue
- Davis Wade Stadium
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No