Conference game
South Carolina at Arkansas
Saturday, November 14, 2026 · 7:45 PM EST
GIE win probability
South Carolina 87% Favorite
Arkansas 13% Underdog
South Carolina is the model's favorite at 87%. Arkansas has a 13% path. Home-field adjustment of +2.0 rating points baked in for Arkansas — venue-specific night-game value (n=52 games).
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
South Carolina offense
Higher fit 46 / 100 Style-neutral matchup
Arkansas offense
35 / 100 Style-neutral matchup