2026 Week 13 · Conference game
TCU at Texas Tech
Friday, November 27, 2026 · 1:00 AM UTC
Jones AT&T Stadium
TCU
Big 12
- Record
- 2-1
- Rating
- 11.2
- National rank
- 32
- Proj. wins
- 6.5
- Playoff prob.
- 5%
Texas Tech
Big 12
- Record
- 3-0
- Rating
- 18.5
- National rank
- 13
- Proj. wins
- 8.5
- Playoff prob.
- 28%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
TCU
22%
Texas Tech
78%
Texas Tech 90% CI: 71% – 84% Δ rating 7.3
Texas Tech is the model's favorite at 78%. TCU has a 22% path. Home-field adjustment of +2.9 rating points baked in for Texas Tech — venue-specific learned value (n=53 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
TCU offense
25 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Texas Tech offense
34 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.
Game info
- Kickoff
- Friday, November 27, 2026 · 1:00 AM UTC
- Venue
- Jones AT&T Stadium
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No