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2026 Week 13 · Conference game

UCF at Colorado

Friday, November 27, 2026 · 11:00 PM CST

Folsom Field

UCF
Big 12
Record
0-0
Rating
-1.2
National rank
76
Proj. wins
5.6
Playoff prob.
0%
Colorado
Big 12
Record
0-0
Rating
-8.3
National rank
96
Proj. wins
3.3
Playoff prob.
0%

GIE win probability

Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.

UCF
47%
Colorado
53%
Colorado 90% CI: 43% – 62% Δ rating 7.1

Colorado is the model's favorite at 53%. UCF has a 47% path. Home-field adjustment of +7.9 rating points baked in for Colorado — venue-specific learned value (n=53 games).

Style fit

How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.

UCF offense
43 / 100

Style-neutral matchup

Colorado offense
33 / 100

Style-neutral matchup

Weather at kickoff

Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.

Game info

Kickoff
Friday, November 27, 2026 · 11:00 PM CST
Venue
Folsom Field
Conference game
Yes
Neutral site
No

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