2026 Week 13 · Conference game
UCF at Colorado
Saturday, November 28, 2026 · 5:00 AM UTC
Folsom Field
UCF
Big 12
- Record
- 2-1
- Rating
- 5.5
- National rank
- 53
- Proj. wins
- 6.8
- Playoff prob.
- 3%
Colorado
Big 12
- Record
- 2-1
- Rating
- -1.2
- National rank
- 72
- Proj. wins
- 5.2
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
UCF
46%
Colorado
54%
Colorado 90% CI: 45% – 63% Δ rating 6.7
Colorado is the model's favorite at 54%. UCF has a 46% path. Home-field adjustment of +7.9 rating points baked in for Colorado — venue-specific learned value (n=53 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
UCF offense
43 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Colorado offense
33 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.
Game info
- Kickoff
- Saturday, November 28, 2026 · 5:00 AM UTC
- Venue
- Folsom Field
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No