2026 Week 13 · Conference game
Baylor at Houston
Saturday, November 28, 2026 · 5:00 AM UTC
TDECU Stadium
Baylor
Big 12
- Record
- 2-1
- Rating
- 6.8
- National rank
- 48
- Proj. wins
- 6.7
- Playoff prob.
- 4%
Houston
Big 12
- Record
- 2-1
- Rating
- 10.8
- National rank
- 34
- Proj. wins
- 6.6
- Playoff prob.
- 4%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Baylor
28%
Houston
72%
Houston 90% CI: 64% – 79% Δ rating 4.0
Houston is the model's favorite at 72%. Baylor has a 28% path. Home-field adjustment of +3.4 rating points baked in for Houston — venue-specific learned value (n=51 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Baylor offense
36 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Houston offense
38 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.
Game info
- Kickoff
- Saturday, November 28, 2026 · 5:00 AM UTC
- Venue
- TDECU Stadium
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No