2026 Week 13 · Conference game
Baylor at Houston
Friday, November 27, 2026 · 11:00 PM CST
TDECU Stadium
Baylor
Big 12
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- 1.4
- National rank
- 71
- Proj. wins
- 5.1
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
Houston
Big 12
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- 7.4
- National rank
- 40
- Proj. wins
- 7.4
- Playoff prob.
- 1%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Baylor
24%
Houston
76%
Houston 90% CI: 69% – 83% Δ rating 6.0
Houston is the model's favorite at 76%. Baylor has a 24% path. Home-field adjustment of +3.4 rating points baked in for Houston — venue-specific learned value (n=51 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Baylor offense
36 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Houston offense
38 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.
Game info
- Kickoff
- Friday, November 27, 2026 · 11:00 PM CST
- Venue
- TDECU Stadium
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No