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2026 Week 12 · Conference game

Oklahoma State at Arizona State

Friday, November 20, 2026 · 11:00 PM CST

Mountain America Stadium

Oklahoma State
Big 12
Record
0-0
Rating
-15.1
National rank
121
Proj. wins
2.5
Playoff prob.
0%
Arizona State
Big 12
Record
0-0
Rating
3.9
National rank
60
Proj. wins
5.8
Playoff prob.
0%

GIE win probability

Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.

Oklahoma State
6%
Arizona State
94%
Arizona State 90% CI: 92% – 96% Δ rating 19.0

Arizona State is the model's favorite at 94%. Oklahoma State has a 6% path. Home-field adjustment of +3.7 rating points baked in for Arizona State — venue-specific learned value (n=55 games).

Style fit

How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.

Oklahoma State offense
33 / 100

Style-neutral matchup

Arizona State offense
43 / 100

Style-neutral matchup

Weather at kickoff

Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.

Game info

Kickoff
Friday, November 20, 2026 · 11:00 PM CST
Venue
Mountain America Stadium
Conference game
Yes
Neutral site
No

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