2026 Week 12 · Conference game
Oklahoma State at Arizona State
Saturday, November 21, 2026 · 5:00 AM UTC
Mountain America Stadium
Oklahoma State
Big 12
- Record
- 2-1
- Rating
- 8.7
- National rank
- 41
- Proj. wins
- 5.9
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
Arizona State
Big 12
- Record
- 2-1
- Rating
- 5.3
- National rank
- 55
- Proj. wins
- 6.6
- Playoff prob.
- 1%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Oklahoma State
49%
Arizona State
51%
Arizona State 90% CI: 42% – 60% Δ rating 3.4
Arizona State is the model's favorite at 51%. Oklahoma State has a 49% path. Home-field adjustment of +3.7 rating points baked in for Arizona State — venue-specific learned value (n=55 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Oklahoma State offense
33 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Arizona State offense
43 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.
Game info
- Kickoff
- Saturday, November 21, 2026 · 5:00 AM UTC
- Venue
- Mountain America Stadium
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No