2026 Week 12 · Conference game
Houston at West Virginia
Saturday, November 21, 2026 · 5:00 AM UTC
Milan Puskar Stadium
Houston
Big 12
- Record
- 2-1
- Rating
- 10.8
- National rank
- 34
- Proj. wins
- 6.6
- Playoff prob.
- 4%
West Virginia
Big 12
- Record
- 3-0
- Rating
- 3.8
- National rank
- 61
- Proj. wins
- 8.2
- Playoff prob.
- 19%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Houston
57%
West Virginia
43%
West Virginia 90% CI: 34% – 52% Δ rating 7.0
Houston is the model's favorite at 57%. West Virginia has a 43% path. Home-field adjustment of +4.7 rating points baked in for West Virginia — venue-specific learned value (n=51 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Houston offense
35 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
West Virginia offense
31 / 100
Run offense vs. elite run defense — bad matchup
Weather at kickoff
Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.
Game info
- Kickoff
- Saturday, November 21, 2026 · 5:00 AM UTC
- Venue
- Milan Puskar Stadium
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No