4thand4cast

Search the site.

Try , , or .

Powered by Pagefind

2026 Week 12 · Conference game

Houston at West Virginia

Friday, November 20, 2026 · 11:00 PM CST

Milan Puskar Stadium

Houston
Big 12
Record
0-0
Rating
7.4
National rank
40
Proj. wins
7.4
Playoff prob.
1%
West Virginia
Big 12
Record
0-0
Rating
-6.8
National rank
93
Proj. wins
4.0
Playoff prob.
0%

GIE win probability

Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.

Houston
77%
West Virginia
23%
West Virginia 90% CI: 17% – 31% Δ rating 14.2

Houston is the model's favorite at 77%. West Virginia has a 23% path. Home-field adjustment of +4.7 rating points baked in for West Virginia — venue-specific learned value (n=51 games).

Style fit

How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.

Houston offense
35 / 100

Style-neutral matchup

West Virginia offense
31 / 100

Run offense vs. elite run defense — bad matchup

Weather at kickoff

Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.

Game info

Kickoff
Friday, November 20, 2026 · 11:00 PM CST
Venue
Milan Puskar Stadium
Conference game
Yes
Neutral site
No

← Home