2026 Week 12 · Conference game
Arizona at Kansas State
Saturday, November 21, 2026 · 5:00 AM UTC
Bill Snyder Family Stadium
Arizona
Big 12
- Record
- 2-1
- Rating
- 9.8
- National rank
- 38
- Proj. wins
- 6.0
- Playoff prob.
- 1%
Kansas State
Big 12
- Record
- 3-0
- Rating
- 14.4
- National rank
- 24
- Proj. wins
- 8.5
- Playoff prob.
- 27%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Arizona
26%
Kansas State
74%
Kansas State 90% CI: 66% – 81% Δ rating 4.6
Kansas State is the model's favorite at 74%. Arizona has a 26% path. Home-field adjustment of +3.8 rating points baked in for Kansas State — venue-specific learned value (n=56 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Arizona offense
36 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Kansas State offense
30 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.
Game info
- Kickoff
- Saturday, November 21, 2026 · 5:00 AM UTC
- Venue
- Bill Snyder Family Stadium
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No