Conference game
Texas Tech at Oklahoma State
Saturday, November 14, 2026 · 9:30 PM EST
GIE win probability
Texas Tech 50% Underdog
Oklahoma State 50% Favorite
Oklahoma State is the model's favorite at 50%. Texas Tech has a 50% path. Home-field adjustment of +2.6 rating points baked in for Oklahoma State — venue-specific night-game value (n=54 games).
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Texas Tech offense
Higher fit 44 / 100 Style-neutral matchup
Oklahoma State offense
24 / 100 Style-neutral matchup