2026 Week 11 · Conference game
Texas Tech at Oklahoma State
Saturday, November 14, 2026 · 5:00 AM UTC
Boone Pickens Stadium
Texas Tech
Big 12
- Record
- 3-0
- Rating
- 18.5
- National rank
- 13
- Proj. wins
- 8.5
- Playoff prob.
- 28%
Oklahoma State
Big 12
- Record
- 2-1
- Rating
- 8.7
- National rank
- 41
- Proj. wins
- 5.9
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Texas Tech
74%
Oklahoma State
26%
Oklahoma State 90% CI: 19% – 34% Δ rating 9.8
Texas Tech is the model's favorite at 74%. Oklahoma State has a 26% path. Home-field adjustment of +1.4 rating points baked in for Oklahoma State — venue-specific learned value (n=57 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Texas Tech offense
44 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Oklahoma State offense
24 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.
Game info
- Kickoff
- Saturday, November 14, 2026 · 5:00 AM UTC
- Venue
- Boone Pickens Stadium
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No