Conference game
Kansas State at TCU
Saturday, November 14, 2026 · 2:00 PM EST
GIE win probability
Kansas State 30% Underdog
TCU 70% Favorite
TCU is the model's favorite at 70%. Kansas State has a 30% path. Home-field adjustment of +3.5 rating points baked in for TCU — venue-specific learned value (n=52 games).
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Kansas State offense
33 / 100 Style-neutral matchup
TCU offense
Higher fit 36 / 100 Style-neutral matchup