2026 Week 11 · Conference game
Kansas State at TCU
Saturday, November 14, 2026 · 5:00 AM UTC
Amon G. Carter Stadium
Kansas State
Big 12
- Record
- 3-0
- Rating
- 14.4
- National rank
- 24
- Proj. wins
- 8.5
- Playoff prob.
- 27%
TCU
Big 12
- Record
- 2-1
- Rating
- 11.2
- National rank
- 32
- Proj. wins
- 6.5
- Playoff prob.
- 5%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Kansas State
52%
TCU
48%
TCU 90% CI: 39% – 58% Δ rating 3.2
Kansas State is the model's favorite at 52%. TCU has a 48% path. Home-field adjustment of +2.7 rating points baked in for TCU — venue-specific learned value (n=54 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Kansas State offense
33 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
TCU offense
36 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.
Game info
- Kickoff
- Saturday, November 14, 2026 · 5:00 AM UTC
- Venue
- Amon G. Carter Stadium
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No