2026 Week 11 · Conference game
Houston at Colorado
Friday, November 13, 2026 · 11:00 PM CST
Folsom Field
Houston
Big 12
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- 7.4
- National rank
- 40
- Proj. wins
- 7.4
- Playoff prob.
- 1%
Colorado
Big 12
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- -8.3
- National rank
- 96
- Proj. wins
- 3.3
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Houston
73%
Colorado
27%
Colorado 90% CI: 21% – 36% Δ rating 15.7
Houston is the model's favorite at 73%. Colorado has a 27% path. Home-field adjustment of +7.9 rating points baked in for Colorado — venue-specific learned value (n=53 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Houston offense
41 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Colorado offense
33 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.
Game info
- Kickoff
- Friday, November 13, 2026 · 11:00 PM CST
- Venue
- Folsom Field
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No