Conference game
Houston at Colorado
Friday, November 13, 2026 · 10:15 PM EST
GIE win probability
Houston 80% Favorite
Colorado 20% Underdog
Houston is the model's favorite at 80%. Colorado has a 20% path. Home-field adjustment of +8.4 rating points baked in for Colorado — venue-specific night-game value (n=51 games).
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Houston offense
Higher fit 41 / 100 Style-neutral matchup
Colorado offense
33 / 100 Style-neutral matchup