2026 Week 11 · Conference game
Houston at Colorado
Saturday, November 14, 2026 · 3:15 AM UTC
Folsom Field
Houston
Big 12
- Record
- 2-1
- Rating
- 10.8
- National rank
- 34
- Proj. wins
- 6.6
- Playoff prob.
- 4%
Colorado
Big 12
- Record
- 2-1
- Rating
- -1.2
- National rank
- 72
- Proj. wins
- 5.2
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Houston
62%
Colorado
38%
Colorado 90% CI: 29% – 47% Δ rating 12.0
Houston is the model's favorite at 62%. Colorado has a 38% path. Home-field adjustment of +7.9 rating points baked in for Colorado — venue-specific learned value (n=53 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Houston offense
41 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Colorado offense
33 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.
Game info
- Kickoff
- Saturday, November 14, 2026 · 3:15 AM UTC
- Venue
- Folsom Field
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No