2026 Week 10 · Conference game
TCU at Arizona
Thursday, November 5, 2026 · 11:00 PM CST
Arizona Stadium
TCU
Big 12
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- 8.3
- National rank
- 37
- Proj. wins
- 6.8
- Playoff prob.
- 1%
Arizona
Big 12
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- 12.0
- National rank
- 28
- Proj. wins
- 7.1
- Playoff prob.
- 3%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
TCU
28%
Arizona
72%
Arizona 90% CI: 64% – 79% Δ rating 3.7
Arizona is the model's favorite at 72%. TCU has a 28% path. Home-field adjustment of +3.8 rating points baked in for Arizona — venue-specific learned value (n=53 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
TCU offense
32 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Arizona offense
35 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.
Game info
- Kickoff
- Thursday, November 5, 2026 · 11:00 PM CST
- Venue
- Arizona Stadium
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No