2026 Week 10 · Conference game
TCU at Arizona
Saturday, November 7, 2026 · 3:15 AM UTC
Arizona Stadium
TCU
Big 12
- Record
- 2-1
- Rating
- 11.2
- National rank
- 32
- Proj. wins
- 6.5
- Playoff prob.
- 5%
Arizona
Big 12
- Record
- 2-1
- Rating
- 9.8
- National rank
- 38
- Proj. wins
- 6.0
- Playoff prob.
- 1%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
TCU
43%
Arizona
57%
Arizona 90% CI: 48% – 66% Δ rating 1.4
Arizona is the model's favorite at 57%. TCU has a 43% path. Home-field adjustment of +3.8 rating points baked in for Arizona — venue-specific learned value (n=53 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
TCU offense
32 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Arizona offense
35 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.
Game info
- Kickoff
- Saturday, November 7, 2026 · 3:15 AM UTC
- Venue
- Arizona Stadium
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No