2026 Week 10 · Conference game
Colorado at Arizona State
Saturday, November 7, 2026 · 5:00 AM UTC
Mountain America Stadium
Colorado
Big 12
- Record
- 2-1
- Rating
- -1.2
- National rank
- 72
- Proj. wins
- 5.2
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
Arizona State
Big 12
- Record
- 2-1
- Rating
- 5.3
- National rank
- 55
- Proj. wins
- 6.6
- Playoff prob.
- 1%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Colorado
22%
Arizona State
78%
Arizona State 90% CI: 71% – 84% Δ rating 6.5
Arizona State is the model's favorite at 78%. Colorado has a 22% path. Home-field adjustment of +3.7 rating points baked in for Arizona State — venue-specific learned value (n=55 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Colorado offense
32 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Arizona State offense
42 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.
Game info
- Kickoff
- Saturday, November 7, 2026 · 5:00 AM UTC
- Venue
- Mountain America Stadium
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No