2026 Week 10 · Conference game
UCF at Kansas
Saturday, November 7, 2026 · 5:00 AM UTC
Memorial Stadium
UCF
Big 12
- Record
- 2-1
- Rating
- 5.5
- National rank
- 53
- Proj. wins
- 6.8
- Playoff prob.
- 3%
Kansas
Big 12
- Record
- 1-2
- Rating
- 3.0
- National rank
- 64
- Proj. wins
- 3.6
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
UCF
46%
Kansas
54%
Kansas 90% CI: 45% – 63% Δ rating 2.5
Kansas is the model's favorite at 54%. UCF has a 46% path. Home-field adjustment of +3.7 rating points baked in for Kansas — venue-specific learned value (n=48 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
UCF offense
39 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Kansas offense
32 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.
Game info
- Kickoff
- Saturday, November 7, 2026 · 5:00 AM UTC
- Venue
- Memorial Stadium
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No