2026 Week 10 · Conference game
UCF at Kansas
Friday, November 6, 2026 · 11:00 PM CST
Memorial Stadium
UCF
Big 12
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- -1.2
- National rank
- 76
- Proj. wins
- 5.6
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
Kansas
Big 12
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- 4.1
- National rank
- 58
- Proj. wins
- 6.3
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
UCF
24%
Kansas
76%
Kansas 90% CI: 68% – 82% Δ rating 5.3
Kansas is the model's favorite at 76%. UCF has a 24% path. Home-field adjustment of +3.7 rating points baked in for Kansas — venue-specific learned value (n=48 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
UCF offense
39 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Kansas offense
32 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.
Game info
- Kickoff
- Friday, November 6, 2026 · 11:00 PM CST
- Venue
- Memorial Stadium
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No