2026 Week 9 · Conference game
Oklahoma State at Iowa State
Saturday, October 31, 2026 · 4:00 AM UTC
Jack Trice Stadium
Oklahoma State
Big 12
- Record
- 2-1
- Rating
- 8.7
- National rank
- 41
- Proj. wins
- 5.9
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
Iowa State
Big 12
- Record
- 2-1
- Rating
- 5.8
- National rank
- 52
- Proj. wins
- 6.2
- Playoff prob.
- 2%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Oklahoma State
38%
Iowa State
62%
Iowa State 90% CI: 53% – 71% Δ rating 2.9
Iowa State is the model's favorite at 62%. Oklahoma State has a 38% path. Home-field adjustment of +6.9 rating points baked in for Iowa State — venue-specific learned value (n=56 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Oklahoma State offense
35 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Iowa State offense
42 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.
Game info
- Kickoff
- Saturday, October 31, 2026 · 4:00 AM UTC
- Venue
- Jack Trice Stadium
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No