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2026 Week 9 · Conference game

Arizona at Texas Tech

Friday, October 30, 2026 · 11:00 PM CDT

Jones AT&T Stadium

Arizona
Big 12
Record
0-0
Rating
12.0
National rank
28
Proj. wins
7.1
Playoff prob.
3%
Texas Tech
Big 12
Record
0-0
Rating
27.6
National rank
3
Proj. wins
10.7
Playoff prob.
98%

GIE win probability

Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.

Arizona
9%
Texas Tech
91%
Texas Tech 90% CI: 87% – 94% Δ rating 15.6

Texas Tech is the model's favorite at 91%. Arizona has a 9% path. Home-field adjustment of +2.9 rating points baked in for Texas Tech — venue-specific learned value (n=53 games).

Style fit

How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.

Arizona offense
25 / 100

Style-neutral matchup

Texas Tech offense
31 / 100

Style-neutral matchup

Weather at kickoff

Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.

Game info

Kickoff
Friday, October 30, 2026 · 11:00 PM CDT
Venue
Jones AT&T Stadium
Conference game
Yes
Neutral site
No

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