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2026 Week 9 · Conference game

Arizona at Texas Tech

Saturday, October 31, 2026 · 4:00 AM UTC

Jones AT&T Stadium

Arizona
Big 12
Record
2-1
Rating
9.8
National rank
38
Proj. wins
6.0
Playoff prob.
1%
Texas Tech
Big 12
Record
3-0
Rating
18.5
National rank
13
Proj. wins
8.5
Playoff prob.
28%

GIE win probability

Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.

Arizona
19%
Texas Tech
81%
Texas Tech 90% CI: 75% – 86% Δ rating 8.7

Texas Tech is the model's favorite at 81%. Arizona has a 19% path. Home-field adjustment of +2.9 rating points baked in for Texas Tech — venue-specific learned value (n=53 games).

Style fit

How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.

Arizona offense
25 / 100

Style-neutral matchup

Texas Tech offense
31 / 100

Style-neutral matchup

Weather at kickoff

Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.

Game info

Kickoff
Saturday, October 31, 2026 · 4:00 AM UTC
Venue
Jones AT&T Stadium
Conference game
Yes
Neutral site
No
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