2026 Week 8 · Conference game
Houston at Utah
Friday, October 23, 2026 · 11:00 PM CDT
Rice-Eccles Stadium
Houston
Big 12
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- 7.4
- National rank
- 40
- Proj. wins
- 7.4
- Playoff prob.
- 1%
Utah
Big 12
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- 22.2
- National rank
- 8
- Proj. wins
- 9.4
- Playoff prob.
- 74%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Houston
9%
Utah
91%
Utah 90% CI: 87% – 93% Δ rating 14.8
Utah is the model's favorite at 91%. Houston has a 9% path. Home-field adjustment of +3.5 rating points baked in for Utah — venue-specific learned value (n=51 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Houston offense
39 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Utah offense
31 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.
Game info
- Kickoff
- Friday, October 23, 2026 · 11:00 PM CDT
- Venue
- Rice-Eccles Stadium
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No