2026 Week 8 · Conference game
Houston at Utah
Saturday, October 24, 2026 · 4:00 AM UTC
Rice-Eccles Stadium
Houston
Big 12
- Record
- 2-1
- Rating
- 10.8
- National rank
- 34
- Proj. wins
- 6.6
- Playoff prob.
- 4%
Utah
Big 12
- Record
- 3-0
- Rating
- 17.0
- National rank
- 19
- Proj. wins
- 8.4
- Playoff prob.
- 38%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Houston
23%
Utah
77%
Utah 90% CI: 70% – 83% Δ rating 6.2
Utah is the model's favorite at 77%. Houston has a 23% path. Home-field adjustment of +3.5 rating points baked in for Utah — venue-specific learned value (n=51 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Houston offense
39 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Utah offense
31 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.
Game info
- Kickoff
- Saturday, October 24, 2026 · 4:00 AM UTC
- Venue
- Rice-Eccles Stadium
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No