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Conference game

TCU at Baylor

Saturday, October 17, 2026 · 7:00 PM EDT

Final score

Final score by period
Team 1234 T
TCU Winner 70100 17
Baylor 0600 6

GIE pre-game call: Baylor at 63%. Miss

Pre-game

GIE win probability

TCU 37% Underdog
Baylor 63% Favorite
Baylor 90% CI
53–71%
Δ rating
Baylor +5.4

Baylor is the model's favorite at 63%. TCU has a 37% path. Home-field adjustment of +-1.3 rating points baked in for Baylor — venue-specific night-game value (n=53 games).

Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.

Recaps