2026 Week 7 · Conference game
Oklahoma State at Houston
Saturday, October 17, 2026 · 4:00 AM UTC
TDECU Stadium
Oklahoma State
Big 12
- Record
- 2-1
- Rating
- 8.7
- National rank
- 41
- Proj. wins
- 5.9
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
Houston
Big 12
- Record
- 2-1
- Rating
- 10.8
- National rank
- 34
- Proj. wins
- 6.6
- Playoff prob.
- 4%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Oklahoma State
33%
Houston
67%
Houston 90% CI: 58% – 74% Δ rating 2.1
Houston is the model's favorite at 67%. Oklahoma State has a 33% path. Home-field adjustment of +3.4 rating points baked in for Houston — venue-specific learned value (n=51 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Oklahoma State offense
34 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Houston offense
42 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.
Game info
- Kickoff
- Saturday, October 17, 2026 · 4:00 AM UTC
- Venue
- TDECU Stadium
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No