4thand4cast

Search the site.

Try , , or .

Powered by Pagefind

2026 Week 6 · Conference game

Arizona at West Virginia

Saturday, October 10, 2026 · 4:00 AM UTC

Milan Puskar Stadium

Arizona
Big 12
Record
2-1
Rating
9.8
National rank
38
Proj. wins
6.0
Playoff prob.
1%
West Virginia
Big 12
Record
3-0
Rating
3.8
National rank
61
Proj. wins
8.2
Playoff prob.
19%

GIE win probability

Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.

Arizona
54%
West Virginia
46%
West Virginia 90% CI: 37% – 55% Δ rating 6.0

Arizona is the model's favorite at 54%. West Virginia has a 46% path. Home-field adjustment of +4.7 rating points baked in for West Virginia — venue-specific learned value (n=51 games).

Style fit

How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.

Arizona offense
40 / 100

Style-neutral matchup

West Virginia offense
29 / 100

Run offense vs. elite run defense — bad matchup

Weather at kickoff

Conditions
Overcast
Temperature
37°F
Precipitation
8%
Wind
4 mph

Game info

Kickoff
Saturday, October 10, 2026 · 4:00 AM UTC
Venue
Milan Puskar Stadium
Conference game
Yes
Neutral site
No
Share

← Home