2026 Week 5 · Conference game
Texas Tech at Colorado
Friday, October 2, 2026 · 11:00 PM CDT
Folsom Field
Texas Tech
Big 12
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- 27.6
- National rank
- 3
- Proj. wins
- 10.7
- Playoff prob.
- 98%
Colorado
Big 12
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- -8.3
- National rank
- 96
- Proj. wins
- 3.3
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Texas Tech
97%
Colorado
3%
Colorado 90% CI: 2% – 4% Δ rating 35.9
Texas Tech is the model's favorite at 97%. Colorado has a 3% path. Home-field adjustment of +7.9 rating points baked in for Colorado — venue-specific learned value (n=53 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Texas Tech offense
42 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Colorado offense
23 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.
Game info
- Kickoff
- Friday, October 2, 2026 · 11:00 PM CDT
- Venue
- Folsom Field
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No